Fri. Sep 5th, 2025

Betting advice for Jake Paul vs Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. fight

Jake Paul, the prominent social media figure and boxer, is set to step back into the boxing ring this Saturday. He enters the bout as a significant favorite against his opponent, Julio Cesar Chavez Jr.

This upcoming match is Paul`s first fight since his unanimous decision victory over Mike Tyson in November. He is currently listed with steep -800 odds for the fight against Chavez Jr., a former WBC middleweight champion who held his title from 2011 to 2012 and had three successful defenses. Chavez Jr.`s most recent fight took place less than a year ago, where he secured a unanimous decision win against former UFC fighter Uriah Hall on an undercard that also featured Jake Paul.

The fight is widely anticipated to be dominated by Jake Paul. However, the heavy moneyline price of -800 offers little value for a simple win bet, unless perhaps used as an anchor in a larger parlay wager.

Consequently, the focus for bettors shifts towards finding value in alternative wagers. One appealing option is betting on Paul, who is 28 years old, to win by knockout, technical knockout, or disqualification, which is currently priced at +140. Given Paul`s demonstrated power and the fact that Chavez Jr. is 11 years his senior with a career that has likely involved more wear and tear, a victory for Paul via stoppage would not be surprising.

Another potential area for value lies in knockdown proposition bets. Even if the fight ultimately goes to a decision, it is quite possible Paul could land a significant shot early on and send Chavez Jr. to the canvas. A single knockdown by Paul is available at even money odds. For those expecting a more action-packed fight, betting on multiple knockdowns to occur throughout the bout offers better odds at +150.

Betting on Jake Paul to win by decision is also a viable strategy to consider. This bet is priced at even money if you believe Chavez Jr. has the resilience to endure Paul`s power for the full duration of the fight. Should you choose this wager, be prepared for potentially tense moments during the contest.

The main event is scheduled for 10 rounds and is expected to start around 11 p.m. ET. The fight will take place at the Honda Center in Anaheim, California, and will be available for streaming via DAZN pay-per-view.

By Gareth Fenton

Gareth Fenton lives and breathes combat sports from his home in Bristol. A passionate journalist with over 15 years covering everything from boxing to MMA, he's known for his incisive analysis and fighter interviews.

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