Live Blog: Virginia Election Results 2023



UPDATE 7:44 pm – With 15% of the vote counted in SD17, Clint Jenkins (D) leads Emily Brewer (R) 54%-46%. Go Jenkins!

UPDATE 7:41 pm – With 33% of the vote counted in HD97, Mike Feggans (D) leads Del. Karen Greenhalgh (R) 52%-48%. Go Feggans!

UPDATE 7:38 pm – With 21% of the votes counted in SD30, Del. Danica Roem (D) leads Bill Woolf (R) 54%-46%. Go Roem!

UPDATE 7:37 pm – With 15% of the votes counted in SD27, Joel Griffin (D) is leading Tara Durant (R) 53%-43%. Go Griffin!

UPDATE 7:35 pm – With 7/43 precincts reporting in SD24, Sen. Monty Mason (D) is leading Danny Diggs (R) 55.1%-44.7%. Go Mason!

UPDATE 7:29 pm – With 6% of votes counted, the Richmond casino is trailing 76.4%-23.6%.

UPDATE 7:22 pm – Phil Hernandez (D) is looking good in HD94, which as Sam Shirazi points out is “basically a safe Dem seat.”

UPDATE 7:18 pm – CNalysis has essentially called 78/100 seats in the Virginia House of Delegates and 30/40 seats in the State Senate. All of these are deep-red or deep-blue, so not really competitive.

UPDATE 7:07 pm – The NY Times has already called 32 races (18 Dems, 14 Rs) in the House of Delegates; also 5 races (2 Dems, 3 Rs) in the State Senate. These are all either deep-blue or deep-red, non-competitive/uncontested districts.

UPDATE 7:01 pm – Polls are now closed, but stay in line to vote if you’re in line.  Also, note that there are very few truly competitive districts (see below), so really we could call all but a handful right now. Instead, we’ll mostly just focus on the competitive races as results start to come in…hopefully starting shortly.

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As always, I’ll be live blogging Virginia’s election results as they come in tonight (polls close at 7 pm – make sure you stay in line and cast your ballot!), with results from the State Board of Elections, VPAP, CNalysis’ cool new results page, etc. I’ll also be keeping an eye on Twitter feeds from political gurus like Not Larry Sabato (Ben Tribbett), Sam Shirazi, Chaz Nuttycombe, etc. [Note: check out the Election Day Open Thread, particularly the comments section, for tons of information from today…]

The main races I’ll be focusing on are the following competitive races for State Senate, House of Delegates and local offices:

COMPETITIVE VA STATE SENATE RACES

  • SD04 (Roanoke Valley): Trish White-Boyd (D) vs. Sen. David Suetterlein (R)
  • SD16 (Henrico): Del. Schuyler VanValkenburg (D) vs. Sen. Siobhan Dunnavant (R)
  • SD17 (Henrico/Petersburg/Hopewell:  Del. Clint Jenkins (D) vs. Del. Emily Brewer (R)
  • SD24 (Newport News/York/Williamsburg/Poquoson/James City County): Sen. Monty Mason (D) vs. Danny Diggs (R)
  • SD27 (Fredericksburg area): Joel Griffin (D) vs. Del. Tara Durant (R)
  • SD30 (Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park): Del. Danica Roem vs. Bill Woolf (R)
  • SD31 (Loudoun/Fauquier): Russet Perry (D) vs. Juan Pablo Segura (R)

COMPETITIVE VA HOUSE OF DELEGATES RACES

  • HD21 (Prince William): Josh Thomas (D) vs. John Stirrup (R)
  • HD22 (Prince William): Travis Nembhard (D) vs. Ian Lovejoy (R)
  • HD30 (Loudoun/Fauquier): Rob Banse (D) vs. Geary Higgins (R) 
  • HD41 (Montgomery/Roanoke County): Lily Franklin (D) vs. Chris Obenshain (R) 
  • HD57 (Henrico/Goochland): Susanna Gibson (D) vs. David Owen (R) 
  • HD58 (Henrico): Del. Rodney Willett (D) vs. Riley Shaia (R) 
  • HD64 (Stafford): Leonard Lacey (D) vs. Paul Milde (R) 
  • HD65 (Stafford/Fredericksburg/Spotsylvania): Joshua Cole (D) vs. Lee Peters (R) 
  • HD71 (James City County/Williamsburg/New Kent): Jessica Anderson (D) vs. Del. Amanda Batten (R) 
  • HD75 (Chesterfield/Hopewell/Prince George): Stephen Miller-Pitts (D) vs. Del. Carrie Coyner (R) 
  • HD82 (Petersburg/Dinwiddie/Prince George/Surry): Kimberly Pope Adams (D) vs. Del. Kim Taylor (R) 
  • HD84 (Suffolk/Isle of Wight/Franklin/Cheseapeake): Nadarius Clark (D) vs. Michael Dillender (R) 
  • HD86 (Hampton/York/Poquoson): Jarris Taylor (D) vs. Del. A.C. Cordoza (R)
  • HD89 (Cheseapeake/Suffolk): Karen Jenkins (D) vs. Baxter Ennis (R) 
  • HD94 (Norfolk): Phil Hernandez (D) vs. Andy Pittman (R) 
  • HD97 (Virginia Beach): Michael Feggans (D) vs. Del. Karen Greenhalgh (R) 

COMPETITIVE LOCAL RACES (just a sampling…there are many others)

  • Prince William County Board of Supervisors Chair: Democrat Deshundra Jefferson vs. Republican Jeanine Lawson
  • Prince William County Board of Supervisors, Coles District: Democrat Idris O’Connor vs. Republican Yesli Vega
  • Fairfax County Board of Supervisors, Springfield District: Democrat Albert Vega vs. Republican incumbent Pat Herrity
  • Albemarle County School Board, at-large: Democrat Allison Spillman vs. Republican Meg Scalia Bryce
  • Richmond Casino Referendum

It also will be interesting to see how high turnout ends up – close to the least “off/odd-year” election in 2019, or closer to the 2021 statewide elections or what?  Oh, and keep in mind that results on election night will most likely see Election Day results reported first, and that Election Day voting will likely skew Republican, while early voting will skew Democratic. (See What happens after polls close: A 2023 VPM News voter guide for more information on this). So adjust expectations, anxiety, etc. accordingly. ?

In general, I’d say a decent-to-good night for Democrats would be holding a majority, even if just 21-19, in the VA State Senate and at least getting to 50-50 in the House of Delegates. A very good night for Democrats would be maintaining our 22-18 State Senate majority and taking control of the House of Delegates, even if just by a 51-49 margin. And an EXCELLENT night would see Democrats increasing our margin in the State Senate (to 23-17 or even 24-16) and getting to 53+ House of Delegates seats. Also, it would be great if Democrats won the Prince William County Board of Supervisors Chair race, the Fairfax County Board of Supervisors Springfield magisterial district race, and numerous important races for Board of Supervisors and School Board around the Commonwealth.  Which races are you following?

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